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CHECKED · CRITICAL THINKING

Why Critical Thinking Matters More in the Age of AI: What the Research Shows, and What It Doesn't

What critical thinking is, whether it can be taught, and what the AI studies found.

Hacks Vitae artwork (AI-assisted)

Prices, versions and facts as of October 2026.

The answer

Critical thinking is reasonable, reflective thinking about what to believe or do, and AI raises the stakes because people tend to over-rely on confident machines.

It can be taught, though the average gain is modest. In the clearest experiment, students who practised with a plain GPT-4 tool did worse on their own later; a guiding tutor largely avoided the drop.

Why it mattersHow you use AI, not just whether you use it, seems to shape how much thinking you still do.

Our verdicts
  • 1Doesn't hold up
  • 6Partly
  • 1Can't confirm

See every verdict →

By Hacks Vitae Published Updated Last checked October 2026 12 min read 26 sources ↓

Start hereIn one experiment, high-school students who practised maths with a plain GPT-4 tool got lower grades on their own afterwards. Yet in a physics course, a custom AI tutor let students learn significantly more in less time. So does AI help or hurt thinking?

The verdicts

01 Critical thinking is the No. 1 skill employers wantCredited to the World Economic Forum, as often quoted Partly Led the skill groups in 2020 but ranked fourth individually; analytical thinking topped the 2023 and 2025 lists. Evidence ↓
02 65% of children starting school today will work in jobs that don't exist yet Can't confirm The Forum called it "one popular estimate"; its endnote gives a web address, not a study. Evidence ↓
03 Critical thinking can be taught Partly Two reviews found a modest average gain; how far it carries between subjects is disputed. Evidence ↓
04 A Microsoft study found that AI is reducing workers' critical thinking Partly A survey of 319 workers found self-reported reductions; it did not measure thinking or show cause. Evidence ↓
05 An MIT study proved that ChatGPT rots your brain Doesn't hold up A small, unreviewed preprint; its authors ask people not to use words like "brain rot". Evidence ↓
06 Using ChatGPT makes you worse at thinking Partly Shown for using it as a crutch in maths practice; tools built for learning showed gains. Evidence ↓
07 PISA 2025 shows that students who use AI do worse at school Partly Students who did not draft with AI scored higher, but that is an association, not a cause. Evidence ↓
08 Prebunking makes people immune to misinformation Partly Short lessons raised recognition of tricks modestly; effects fade, and help with real news is disputed. Evidence ↓

What critical thinking means

As an educational goal, the idea goes back to the American philosopher John Dewey (1910), who more commonly called it reflective thinking. He defined it as active, persistent and careful thought about a belief, in the light of the grounds for it and the conclusions it leads to.

Between 1988 and 1989 a panel of 46 scholars, educators and others agreed a longer definition, published in 1990. It was brought together at the request of a committee of the American Philosophical Association. They described it as purposeful, self-regulating judgment that interprets, analyses, evaluates and infers, and explains the reasons it rests on.

The philosopher Robert Ennis puts it more briefly, in his 2011 wording: “Critical thinking is reasonable and reflective thinking focused on deciding what to believe or do.”

The definitions do not fully agree. Some limit critical thinking to forming a judgment. Others, as the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy notes, count actions as well as beliefs as the end point.

Our reading: the studies people quote do not all measure the same thing. One of the AI studies below defines critical thinking through Bloom’s taxonomy of learning goals, and its authors say this definition is not uncontested.

Partly

Can it be taught?

On average, a little. A 2008 review by Philip Abrami and colleagues pooled 117 studies with 20,698 participants. It found an average effect of 0.341 standard deviations, with results that varied a great deal. The authors concluded that improvement cannot simply be expected to happen. Teachers must make critical-thinking goals explicit in their courses.

A 2015 review by the same group drew on 341 effect sizes from experimental and quasi-experimental studies. It found a similar average of 0.30, and effective strategies at all levels of education and in every subject area. Three stood out: dialogue, real-world problems and examples, and mentoring.

Our reading: an effect of about a third of a standard deviation is a real but modest average gain, not a transformation.

The same review found that teaching critical thinking on its own and inside subject lessons together did better than either alone. But the Stanford Encyclopedia notes that the difference was not statistically significant, so it might have arisen by chance. Most of the studies also lacked long-term follow-up.

A 2016 review by Huber and Kuncel found that critical thinking skills and dispositions improve substantially over a normal college experience. It also found that curriculum-wide programmes to improve them do not necessarily add long-term gains.

The harder question is whether the skill travels from one subject to another. The cognitive scientist Daniel Willingham argued in 2007 that critical thinking is not a set of skills you can use anywhere. In his view, it depends heavily on knowing the subject and practising in it.

He did not say it never carries over: “such transfer does occur”, he wrote, but when and why is complex.

The Stanford Encyclopedia describes the evidence for one popular answer, teaching critical thinking across many subjects with explicit attention to the skills they share, as “scanty”.

Our reading: teaching helps on average, and knowing a subject well is what lets the habit work in that subject.

Try it: when you want to judge claims in a field, learn its basics first; the habit works best on things you know.

↑ All verdicts
Can't confirm

What employers say

The line “critical thinking is the No. 1 skill employers want” is usually credited to the World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs reports. The Forum’s own summary of its 2020 report said critical thinking and problem-solving were at the top of the list. These are surveys of what employers say they expect, not measurements of what workers can do.

We searched the text of the 2023 and 2025 reports and did not find the phrase critical thinking in either. Our reading: the claim fits one 2020 chart of skill groups; in the ranked lists of individual skills, a close cousin, analytical thinking, comes first.

A second statistic often travels with these reports. It says “65% of children entering primary school today will ultimately end up working in completely new job types that don’t yet exist.” The Forum’s 2016 report gives it as “one popular estimate”, and its endnote gives a web address for Shift Happens, not a study.

We could not find a study behind it.

An author who used the figure in a 2011 book wrote about it in 2017. She said the figure did not start with her, and that she had traced it to an Australian website that no longer existed. She now regards it as “a pretty vague figure”.

↑ All verdicts

AI and thinking: what the studies found

A survey, a preprint and an experiment answer different questions; our guide to reading a study explains why.

A survey of knowledge workers

Researchers at Microsoft Research and Carnegie Mellon University surveyed 319 knowledge workers, who shared 936 examples of using generative AI at work.

The paper, presented at the CHI 2025 conference, found that higher confidence in generative AI went with less critical thinking. Higher self-confidence went with more. AI also shifted critical thinking toward checking information, combining responses and overseeing the task.

The paper’s own title calls the reductions in effort self-reported. Its authors note that participants sometimes mixed up less effort in using AI with less effort in thinking critically with it. They also say the sample leaned towards younger, more technologically skilled people. It shows an association in what people reported, not a cause.

A survey of 666 people

A 2025 paper in the journal Societies surveyed 666 people in the UK, recruited online through social media, and interviewed 50 of them. It found a significant negative correlation between frequent AI use and critical thinking abilities. The link ran through greater cognitive offloading: handing mental work to the tool.

Critical thinking was measured partly by self-report. The author lists reliance on self-reported measures and possible sample bias among the limits, and says experiments could offer causal evidence. A correction in September 2025 replaced a duplicated table; the author states that the scientific conclusions are unaffected.

The brain-scan preprint

Many news stories about ChatGPT and the brain go back to a preprint from the MIT Media Lab, first posted in June 2025. In all, 54 people took part in the first three sessions, and 18 completed a fourth. They wrote essays with ChatGPT, with a search engine or with no tools while their brain activity was recorded by EEG.

The authors report that the ChatGPT group showed the weakest brain connectivity. As of 13 October 2026 its arXiv record shows a preprint, last revised on 31 December 2025, with no journal publication listed.

Other researchers have posted a constructive comment on its small sample, reproducibility and EEG methods. The authors’ own FAQ says it does not show that LLMs make us dumber, and asks people not to use words like “brain rot”.

The strongest experiment

Our reading: the clearest causal evidence among these studies comes from a field experiment with nearly 1,000 students at a high school in Turkey, published in PNAS in 2025. While students had GPT-4 during practice, their grades rose: by 48% with the plain tool and 127% with the tutor version.

When access was taken away, students who had used the plain tool got grades 17% lower than those who never had access. The tutor version, whose instructions asked it to guide students step by step instead of giving the answer, largely avoided the drop.

The authors’ explanation is that, without guardrails, students used GPT-4 “as a ‘crutch’ during practice problem sessions”. The study measured maths learning over a few sessions, not critical thinking in general, and the authors say they focused on short-term outcomes.

Try it: on practice work, make your own attempt first, then ask the AI for hints or explanations rather than answers.

Experiments that point the other way

When the tool is built for learning, results can be positive.

A randomised trial ran in a Harvard undergraduate physics course with 194 students, each taking one lesson with an AI tutor and one in class (Scientific Reports, 2025). A custom tutor built on the course’s own teaching methods let students learn significantly more in less time than an in-class active-learning lesson.

Two 2026 studies add detail, one a preprint and one a CHI 2026 conference paper.

In the preprint, as revised in October 2026, access to an off-the-shelf AI tool during one timed essay assignment raised undergraduates’ test scores, and a smaller gain persisted a week later. The gains remained for students who used AI as a tutor and faded for students who had AI write for them.

In the conference paper, an experiment with 393 people, having an AI model from the start helped under time pressure but hurt performance when there was enough time. Starting the task without it showed the opposite pattern.

What 15-year-olds told PISA

The OECD’s PISA 2025 results were published on 8 September 2026. The press release says: “Students who say they did not use AI to draft text for writing assignments outperformed those who say they did.”

Among frequent users, some used AI to help them learn and were taught to judge the quality of its output. They tended to do better than those who had no such guidance. These are associations, not proof that AI lowered anyone’s scores. The full results of PISA’s new Learning in the Digital World test are due in May 2027.

Our reading: surveys find that people who lean on AI more report, or score, less critical thinking, but they cannot say which causes which. The clearest experiment found that using AI to skip the work during practice left students worse off on their own. A tool built to make students do the thinking largely avoided that.

Over-trusting machines is an old problem

Researchers have a name for leaning too hard on a confident machine: automation bias, “the tendency to over-rely on automation”. A 2012 systematic review screened 13,821 papers and kept 74. It found that trust and confidence, workload, task complexity and time pressure all played a part, and that training and stressing that users are accountable helped.

In a 2023 experiment, 27 radiologists read mammograms with suggestions they were told came from an AI system. In 12 of 40 cases the suggestion was deliberately wrong. Inexperienced readers rated 79.7% of mammograms correctly when the suggestion was right and 19.8% when it was wrong. Very experienced readers fell from 82.3% to 45.5%.

The authors concluded that radiologists at every level of experience are prone to automation bias when an AI system supports them. Experience softened the pull without removing it. Why AI makes things up covers the errors chatbots make.

Try it: before you rely on an AI answer, check one of its claims against a named source.

Partly

Checking what you read: what helps, and how much

The first approach is lateral reading: leaving a page to see what other sources say about it. It is the core of the SIFT method.

In a 2022 field study in one urban school district, high-school students who had six 50-minute lessons grew significantly in their ability to judge the credibility of digital content. There were 271 of them, compared with 228 in regular classes, in a matched rather than randomised design.

As our SIFT page explains, a lasting benefit measured against a comparison group has not been established.

The second is prebunking, or inoculation: short games or videos that show people a manipulation technique before they meet it. In a 2022 study in Science Advances, five short videos improved recognition of techniques such as false dichotomies across six randomised experiments with 6,464 people.

In a field test on YouTube the effect was smaller. Recognition rose by about 5% on average, measured by a single test question within 24 hours of the advert.

In a 2021 study of the Bad News game, the benefit lasted at least three months when people were tested at regular intervals. Without regular testing, it was no longer significant after two months.

Whether these lessons help people tell reliable from unreliable news, and not just name a trick, is disputed. A 2023 reanalysis of five studies found that two inoculation games “did not improve discrimination” but made people answer false more often to everything.

A 2026 reanalysis of 33 experiments with 37,025 people found that games and videos consistently improved discrimination between reliable and unreliable news, without increasing response bias.

Two of that reanalysis’s five authors also co-wrote the 2022 YouTube study. The 2023 critique was written by two researchers who were not among the authors of either. Our logical fallacies page weighs the two and leans, cautiously, toward the larger reanalysis, because it covers far more experiments.

Whether any benefit survives a realistic feed has not been shown. In a 2025 study in PNAS Nexus, mixing real posts into a simulated feed “appeared to nullify the effect” of a lesson on emotional manipulation.

Try it: when a page makes a claim, open a new tab and see what others say about who is behind it. In the Bad News study, the effect lasted when people were tested at regular intervals, so it may help to repeat the habit.

↑ All verdicts

Quick answers

What is critical thinking?

The philosopher Robert Ennis puts it as reasonable and reflective thinking focused on deciding what to believe or do. The idea goes back to John Dewey, who more commonly called it reflective thinking.

Can critical thinking be taught?

Yes, modestly. Two reviews of classroom studies (2008 and 2015) found an average gain of about a third of a standard deviation, and how far the skill carries from one subject to another is still argued over.

Is critical thinking the top skill employers want?

Partly. In the World Economic Forum's 2020 report, critical thinking and analysis led the skill groups but ranked fourth among individual skills. In the 2023 and 2025 reports the top core skill is analytical thinking.

Does ChatGPT make you dumber?

The research does not show that. Two surveys show associations, not causes, and the brain-scan study is a small preprint that has not been peer reviewed. In one maths experiment, students who used a plain GPT-4 tool as a crutch did worse on their own later.

Has the MIT "Your Brain on ChatGPT" study been peer reviewed?

Not as far as we can find. As of 13 October 2026 its arXiv record shows a preprint, last revised on 31 December 2025, with no journal publication listed.

Use this

The lesson

Use AI after you have done some thinking, not instead of it.

  1. On practice work, make your own attempt first, then ask the AI for hints rather than answers.
  2. Before you rely on an AI answer, check one of its claims against a named source.
  3. When a page makes a claim, open a new tab and see what others say about who is behind it.
The rule

Did I do the thinking here, or did I hand it to the tool?

Quick quiz

Three questions, thirty seconds

Nothing is scored or saved. Recalling it once now is what makes it last.

1. In the World Economic Forum's 2020 report, where did critical thinking and analysis rank among individual skills?

Answer: Fourth.Read it again ↑

2. What is the MIT "Your Brain on ChatGPT" study?

Answer: A preprint with 54 participants.Read it again ↑

3. In the maths experiment, which version of GPT-4 largely avoided the drop in grades?

Answer: A tutor that guided rather than gave answers.Read it again ↑

How we checked this · Last checked October 2026
  • What we read in full: the Stanford Encyclopedia entry, the Delphi Report, Ennis's outline, Willingham's article, the four World Economic Forum reports (searched as text), the Lee, Gerlich, Bastani, Kestin and Roozenbeek papers, and the Gerlich correction.
  • We also read the OECD's PISA 2025 press release, the abstracts of the other papers and preprints, and the Kosmyna authors' FAQ.
  • We could not read the full texts of the Abrami and Huber & Kuncel reviews (their effect sizes come from the abstracts), the full PISA 2025 report, the full texts of the two 2026 studies, or the BBC programme on the 65% figure.
  • On 13 October 2026 we re-checked the MIT preprint: its arXiv record still shows version 2 of 31 December 2025 and no journal reference, and Crossref and OpenAlex searches found no journal version.
  • The same day we found that the 2026 learning preprint had been revised (version 2, 4 October 2026); the page now follows its current abstract.

How we check every article →

Sources

Primary written at the time, by a witness, or the original text Scholarly edited or peer-reviewed work Popular press, blogs and general websites